## Exercise set.seed(54) myts <- ts(c(rnorm(50, 34, 10), rnorm(67

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## Exercise set.seed(54)
myts <- ts(c(rnorm(50, 34, 10), rnorm(67

## Exercise set.seed(54)
myts <- ts(c(rnorm(50, 34, 10), rnorm(67, 7, 1), runif(23, 3, 14))) #5. Plot the data, explain the statistical characters of the data #6. Use 80% of the data as the training set and the rest as testing set - This is to make sure the forecast models #do not carry any information of the testing set (the rest 20% of the data) reserved for accuracy analysis. #7.Set up three forecasting models using the training set. #8.Get a plot with the three forecast models, add a legend. Which method looks more promising? #9.Perform accuracy analysis to get the error measures and compare them; do the results match the #visual impression (plot the residual)? if not, why? #10. Check relevant statistical traits: Mean of zero; equal variance; #standard distribution of the residual.

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